Financial Markets Today

Financial Markets Today

The U.S. equities market declined today, dropping after 8 consecutive days of gains with the U.S. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S & P 500 and NASDAQ indices all losing ca -0.26%, -0.26% and -0.24% respectively. This comes after the release of weak economic data with the Philadelphia Federal Reserve business index dropping to negative at -4.1pts, its lowest since May 2016, IHS Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index dropping to a 17-months low at 53.7 in February and the Conference Board’s leading economic index declined for a 2nd consecutive month, its first since 2016. This also comes after yesterday’s release of the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting held in January, with a change in its monetary stance to a dovish outlook.

We expect the continued release of weak U.S. economic data and increasing expectation of a negative impact on the U.S. economic growth for 2019 to further dampen investors’ expectation of global growth in 2019. We also expect this to keep the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank on the watch to maintain its current dovish monetary stance for a longer period in 2019.

MONEY MARKETS

CAPITAL MARKETS

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

COMMODITIES

Banking system liquidity opened negative today, at ca -₦25.75 billion. There was an Open Market Operation (OMO) auction conducted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) today.

Treasury Bills
A more active and bullish trading day in the treasury bills secondary market today, with demand seen across the curve, on inflow of ca ₦560 billion. Average rates dropped ca -8bps day-on-day, with the 09 May maturity trading the most to close at 11.93% from 12.36%. Please find below a summary of the results of today’s Open Market Operations (OMO) auction:

Tenor 98-Days 189-Days 364-Days
Maturity Date: 30-May-19 29-Aug-19 20-Feb-20
Amount Offered: ₦ 50.00billion ₦ 100.00billion ₦ 400.00 billion
Subscription: ₦ 7.91billion ₦ 53.06billion ₦ 725.61 billion
Amount Allotted: ₦ 7.91billion ₦ 53.06billion ₦ 725.61 billion
Range of bids: 11.9000% – 11.9000% 13.5000% – 13.5000% 14.9800% – 15.0000%
Stop Rates 11.9000% 13.5000% 15.0000%


Bank Placements

Open Buy Back (OBB) and Overnight (O/N) rates dropped day-on-day to 13.67% and 14.58% from 15% and 15.50%. Average fixed deposit rates amongst banks monitored showed:
– tier-1 rated banks at 3.50% for 30 – 60 days tenor on ₦10mln – ₦100mln.
– tier-2 rated banks at 7.50% for 30 – 60 days tenor on ₦10mln – ₦100mln.

Bonds
A relatively active trading in the bonds secondary market today, with most of market’s activities seen at the mid-to-long end of the curve. Average yield remained flat day-on-day, with the February 2028 maturity trading the most to close at 14.89%.

Equities
The Nigerian equities market closed on a negative note after 2 consecutive trading day of gains, with the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share Index (NSE ASI) losing ca -0.14% day-on-day to close at 32,568.65pts, with market’s year-to-date returns at +3.62%. This was mainly due to price decline in Zenith Bank Plc (-1.94%).

The NSE Consumer Goods and Banking indices lost ca -85bps and -27bps respectively, while the NSE Industrial and Oil & Gas indices gained ca +16bps and +49bps respectively. Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc led the volume chart with 24.73m units while Guaranty Trust Bank Plc led the value chart with ₦630.23mn worth of trade

The Naira remained stable against the dollar at the interbank market window today, at ₦306.80/$1. In the parallel market, it remained stable against the Dollar at ₦360/$1, while it appreciated against the Pound Sterling and Euro at ₦471/₤1 and ₦410/€1 from ₦471/₤1 and ₦410/€1 respectively. The Naira appreciated at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange (NAFEX) window at ₦361.59/$1 from ₦361.78/$1.

Crude oil prices declined today, as data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude oil production rose to its highest in history of 12 million barrels per day, with stockpiles rising for a 5th consecutive week. Brent crude oil price lost ca -0.22% at $66.93pb, while WTI crude declined ca -0.52% at $56.86pb, as at report time. Spot gold rose ca -1.60% day-on-day at $1,326.30 per ounce

Top 5 Equitiy Advancers
Name (Symbol) Closing Price Gain(N) % Change
IKEJAHOTEL 1.90 0.18 +9.94%
ABCTRANS 0.52 0.04 +8.33%
UAC-PROP 1.82 0.14 +8.33%
FIRSTALUM 0.31 0.02 +6.90%
MCNICHOLS 0.47 0.03 +6.82%
Top 5 Equity Decliners
Name (Symbol) Closing Price Gain(N) % Change
LINKASSURE 0.63 -0.07 -10.00%
INTBREW 26.25 -2.75 -9.48%
NEIMETH 0.64 -0.06 -8.57%
MBENEFIT 0.25 -0.02 -7.41%
LASACO 0.31 -0.02 -6.06%
Benchmark T-Bills Discount Rates
21-Feb-19 20-Feb-19 Change in Rates
77Days 11.93% 12.35% -0.42%
161Days 12.93% 12.93% 0.00%
308Days 14.78% 14.79% -0.01%
Source: FMDQ DQL for 21 February 2019
*T-Bills Discount Rates are slightly different from current market rates
Benchmark FGN Bond Yields
21-Feb-19 20-Jan-19 Change in Yield
3 yrs: 16.00% 29-Jun 2019 13.25% 13.31% -0.06%
5 yrs: 15.54% 13-Feb 2020 16.35% 16.60% -0.05%
10 yrs: 16.29% 17 Mar 2027 14.82% 14.75% 0.07%
20 yrs: 16.25% 18-Apr 2037 14.47% 14.42% 0.05%
Source: FMDQ DQL for 21 February 2019
AIICO Money Market Fund (AMMF)
Net Yield (As at current date) 13.28% per annum
Added Benefit Personal accident insurance cover
AIICO Capital Guaranteed Income Note (GIN) Rates p.a.
Amount (NGN) 30 Days 60 Days 90 Days 180 Days 364 Days
10,000,001 – 50,000,000 10.00 10.50 11.00 12.00 13.00
50,000,001 – 100,000,000 11.00 11.25 11.50 12.50 14.00
100,000,001 – 400,000,000 12.00 12.25 12.50 13.00 14.50
Trading Treasury Bills Rates p.a.
Maturity Dates Tenor (Days) Discount Rate Effective Yield
21-Mar-19 28 10.00% 10.08%
09-May-19 77 11.80% 12.10%
01-Aug-19 161 11.80% 12.45%
07-Nov-19 259 14.20% 15.79%

 

Select Macro-economic Indices
Inflation % (December 2018) 11.44 (-25.57% ytd)
PMI (January 2019) 58.50
MPR (%) 14 (-5%/+2% around mid-point)
CRR (%) 22.5
Brent Crude Price US$ pbbl 66.93 (-0.22% d/d)
External Reserve (US$’billion) 42.69 (-0.93% ytd)
GDP % (Q3 2018) +2.38% (Q3 2018: +1.80% y/y)
NSE All Share Index (ASI) 32,568.65 (-0.14% d/d; +3.62% ytd)
Market Capitalisation (₦’Trillion) 11.46

Financial Markets Update – 21 February 2019

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